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30th April 08 - Prof. James Petras
From the middle of the 19th century but especially after the Second
World War, two models of empire building competed on a world scale: One
predominantly based on military conquests, involving direct invasions,
proxy invading armies and subsidized separatist military forces; and
the other predominantly based on large-scale, long-term economic
penetration via a combination of investments, loans, credits and trade
in which ‘market’ power and the superiority (greater productivity) in
the means of production led to the construction of a virtual empire.
Throughout the 19th to the middle of the 20th centuries, European and
US empire building resorted to the military route, especially in Asia,
Africa, Central America, North America and the Caribbean. By far the
British and US colonized the greatest territories through military
force, followed by the introduction of state directed mercantile
systems, the Monroe doctrine for the US and imperial preference for the
British. South America following independence became the site of the
growth of market powered empire building. British and later US capital
successfully captured the commanding heights of the economies,
especially the agro-mining and petroleum export sectors, trade, finance
and in some cases attached customs and treasury to cover debt
collection.
As late developing capitalist countries and emerging
imperial powers (EIP), the US, Germany and Japan faced the hostility of
the established European empires and limited access to strategic
markets and raw materials. The EIP adopted several strategies in
challenging the existing empires. These included demands for free trade
with their colonies and the end of imperial (colonial) privilege/
preference. The EIP established parallel colonial settlements and
concessions, bordering the old empires. They fomented and financed
‘anti-colonial’ revolts to replace existing colonial collaborators and
pursued economic penetration via superior production. They disseminated
political propaganda promoting ‘democratic’ values within a market
driven empire. World War Two marked the decline of the European
military based colonial empire and the US transition from a
predominantly market to military-based empire. This ‘transition’ was
facilitated by earlier military occupations in the Philippines and the
Caribbean and a multitude of invasions in Central America.
Nationalist liberation movements, based on liberal, nationalist and
socialist leaders and programs, drawing on returning soldiers, weakened
colonial control and post-war European anti-fascist and anti-war
sentiments, led to the dismantling of their military-based empires.
Internal reconstruction and domestic working class radicalism
influenced the agenda for most European colonial powers. The attempts
by the European powers to re-impose their colonial empires failed
despite bloody wars in Indo-China, Kenya, Algeria, Malaya and
elsewhere. The French, English and Israeli invasion and occupation of
the Egyptian Suez (1956) marked the last major attempt at
military-driven imperialism.
The US opposition to this effort
at European re-colonization marked the supremacy of US-centered empire
building and, paradoxically, the beginning of US military-driven empire
building. The European powers, especially Great Britain, engineered a
strategic shift from a colonial-military empire toward market-driven
empires based on supporting pro-capitalist nationalist against
socialist revolutionaries (India, Malaysia, Singapore, etc.). While
Europe transited to the market-driven empire building model based first
and foremost on the reconstruction of their war-torn domestic
capitalist economy, the US quickly moved toward a military based empire
building approach. The US established military bases throughout Europe,
militarily intervened in Greece, elaborated a complex and comprehensive
military buildup to challenge Soviet spheres of influence in Eastern
Europe and intervened in the Chinese and especially the Korean and
Vietnamese civil wars.
Immediate Post-WWII: The Combination of Market and Military Roads to Empire
Because the US economy and military came out of the victory during WWII
with enormous resources far surpassing any other country or group of
countries, it was able to pursue a dual approach to empire building,
engaging in military and economic expansion. The US dominated over 50%
of world trade and had the greatest surplus public and private capital
to invest overseas. The US possessed technological and productivity
advantages to promote ‘free trade’ among its would-be competitors and
to increase domestic living standards.
These advantageous
circumstances, directly related and limited to the first decade of the
post-WWII period, became embedded in the practice and strategic
thinking of US policymakers, Congress, the Executive branch and both
major parties. The conjunctural ‘world superiority’ generated a
plethora of elite ideologies and a mass mind set in which the US was
seen to be ‘by nature’, by ‘divine will’, destined by ‘history’ and its
‘values’, by its ‘superior education, technology and productivity’ to
rule over the world. The specific economic and political conditions of
the ‘decade’ (1945-1955) were frozen into an unquestioned dogma, which
denied the dynamics of changing market, productive and political
relations that gradually eroded the original bases of the ideology.
Divergence in the World Economy: US-Europe-Japan
Beginning with the massive military buildup with the ‘Cold War’ and the
subsequent hot war in Korea, the US allocated a far greater percentage
of its budget and GNP to war and military empire building than Western
Europe or Japan.
By the mid-1950’s, while the US vastly
expanded its state military apparatus (armed forces, intelligence
agencies and clandestine armies), Western Europe and Japan expanded and
built up their state economic agencies, public enterprises, investment
and loan programs for the private sector. Even more significantly, US
military spending and purchases stimulated Japanese and European
industries. Equally important state-private procurement policies
subsidized US industrial inefficiency via cost over-runs,
non-competitive bidding and military-industrial monopolies.
US empire building via projections of military power absorbed hundreds
of billions of dollars in government expenditures in regions and
countries with low economic payoffs in the Caribbean, Central American,
Asia and Africa.
While military-driven empire building did
increase short term domestic growth and rising income, and led to some
important civilian spin-offs and technological breakthroughs that
entered the civilian economy, European and Japanese market-based empire
building moved with greater dynamism from domestic to export led growth
and began to challenge US predominance in a multiplicity of productive
sectors.
The US prolonged and costly war against Indo-China
(roughly 1954-74) epitomized the replacement of European
colonial-military empire building by the US version. The hundreds of
billions of dollars in US government war spending spilled over into
Japanese and South Korean high-growth manufacturing industries. Western
European manufacturing achieved productivity gains and export markets
in former African and Asian colonial nations, while the US Empire’s
murderous wars in South East Asia discredited it and its products
throughout the world. Domestic unrest, widespread civilian protests and
military demoralization further weakened the US capacity to pursue its
imperial agenda and defend strategic collaborating regimes in key
regions.
The relative decline of US manufacturing exports was
accompanied by the massive growth of US public debt, which in turn
stimulated the vast expansion of the financial sector which then shaped
regional and national policy toward de-industrializing central cities
and converting them into a finance-real estate and insurance
monoculture.
The contrasting and divergent roads to empire
building between the US on the one hand and Europe and Japan on the
other, deepened with the advent of the ‘Second Cold War’ under the
Carter-Reagan years. While the US spent billions in proxy wars in
Southern Africa (Angola and Mozambique), Latin America (Nicaragua,
Chile, El Salvador and Guatemala) and Asia (Afghanistan), the Europeans
were expanding economically into Eastern Europe, China, Latin America
and the Middle East. Even at the moment of greatest imperial success,
the overthrow of Communism in the USSR and East Europe and China’s
transition to capitalism, the US militarily driven empire failed to
reap the benefits: Under Clinton the US promoted the raw pillage of the
Russian economy and destruction of the state (civilian and military),
market and scientific base rather than stabilize and jointly exploit
its existing markets and human and material resources. The US spent
billions undermining Communism, but the Europeans, primarily Germany,
and to a much lesser degree France, England and Japan, were the prime
beneficiaries in terms of securing the most productive industries and
employing the better part of the skilled labor and engineers in the
former Soviet bloc. By the end of the Clinton era and the bursting of
the information technology speculative bubble, the European Union
eclipsed the US in GNP, outperformed the US in accumulating trade
surpluses and foreign debt management.
Market Versus Military Empire Building in the 1990’s
During the Bush-Clinton years, US military-driven empire-building
vastly expanded its commitments in financing and providing troops into
the Balkan and Iraq wars, military entry into Somalia, the bombing of
the Sudan, the increased subsidy of Israel’s colonial wars, the Afghan
wars, Colombia’s counter-insurgency and to a lesser extent the
Philippine’s counter-insurgency and counter-separatist wars. While the
US spent billions to prop up a gangster-ridden and corrupt KLA regime
in Kosova in order to spend billions more in building a huge military
base, Germany was reaping the economic benefits of its economic
hegemony in the relatively prosperous regimes of Croatia, Slovenia and
the Czech Republic.
While the US spent hundreds of billions in the
First and Second Gulf Wars, China, the new emerging market-driven
empire builder, was looking to sign lucrative oil and gas contracts in
the Middle East, especially with Iran. While the US was backing an
unpopular minority regime backed by its client Ethiopian military force
in Somalia, China was signing major oil contracts in Sudan, Angola and
Nigeria and even in Northern Somalia (Puntland). While the US
military-centered empire-building state was giving away over $3 billion
in military aid (plus transferring its most up-to-date military
technology to competitor firms) per year to Israel, European, Asian and
Latin American private and public enterprises were signing long-term
lucrative contracts with the Gulf oil states as well as with Iran.
A clear sign of the long-term economic decay of the US global
competitive position between 2002-2008 is evidenced by the fact that a
40% depreciation of the dollar has failed to substantially improve the
US balance of payments, let alone produce a trade surplus. Despite the
handicap of appreciating currencies, China, Germany and Japan continued
to accumulate trade surpluses, especially with the US. While the US
spent hundreds of billions in Asian wars, CIA propaganda and subversive
operations in the former USSR, Eastern Europe, the Baltic States, the
Caribbean (Cuba/Venezuela) and the Caucuses, the principle
beneficiaries were the revitalized European market-driven
empire-builders and the newly emerging market empire builders.
While the US spends enormous sums in building new military bases
surrounding Russia, including new offensive operations in Kosova,
Poland and the Czech Republic, with new preparations for NATO bases in
Georgia and the Ukraine, Russian, Chinese and European capital expands
buying out or investing in privatized and public-private strategic
mining, petrol and manufacturing enterprises in Africa, Latin America,
Australia and the Gulf.
While China harnesses foreign
capital, including major US MNCs to make itself the ‘manufacturing
workshop of the world’, Germany with its high precision heavy
manufacturers are prospering by ‘constructing the workshops’ for the
Chinese. US manufacturers and productive capital flee to
state-subsidized (via tax reductions and low interest rates) financial,
real estate and speculative sectors, and go overseas to avoid high rent
and fringe payments to US labor. The resulting decline of the domestic
market and a shrinking base of industrially trained labor reinforce the
overseas and speculative movements on US capital. These capitalist
structural changes undermined the economic fundamentals underlying the
financial sector.
The deterioration of the US economy became
apparent as the speculative paper pyramid (sub-prime and credit crises)
collapsed during the 2007-08 recession. The recycling of multiple
layers of ‘exotic’ financial ‘instruments’ each more precarious than
the other, each more divorced from any tangible productive unit in the
real economy characterized this period. Their predictable collapse
dragged the US into recession. Even among the big banks and financial
houses there is no knowledge of the real value of the paper being
traded or of the ‘material collateral’ (housing and commercial property
being held). The fictitious economy revolves around unloading the
devalued paper, to cover costs and lessen losses…and let the next
holder of the paper face the risks and uncertainties. As a result there
is a total lack of confidence in the market because the ‘objects’ up
for sale have become so lacking of value, i.e. so intangible and
unrelated to the real economy.
The decline of the real
producer basis of goods and social services and the predominance of the
paper economy accentuated the divergence between military-directed
empire building and the global economic interests of the US. The paper
economy is not directly influenced by imperialist militarism, as is the
case with US MNC’s with physical assets at risk from imperial wars,
armed resistance, the disruption of trade routes, the destruction of
overseas markets and the disarticulation of access to minerals and
energy sources.
The ascendancy of speculative finance capital
coincides with the greater autonomy of the militarist empire builders
over and against the residual influence of American manufacturing and
commercial interests supporting market imperialism. The extraordinary
role that the pro-Israel power bloc plays in shaping a bellicose Middle
East foreign policy over and above what US oil companies looking to
sign contracts with Arab countries exercised, can only be understood
within the large upsurge of ‘militarist driven imperial policy’.
Washington’s unconditional support of Israel’s militarist colonial
regime reflects two important structural changes in US empire building.
One is the extraordinary organization and influence of the principle
pro-Israel Jewish organization over local, regional, national
legislative and executive bodies and in the mass media and financial
institutions. The second change is the rise of a political class of
executive and legislative militarist policy-makers, which has an
affinity with Israeli colonialism and its offensive military strategy.
Israel is one of the few – if not only – military-driven ‘emerging
imperial powers’ and that is part of the reason for the ‘resonance’
between Jewish leaders in Israel and Washington policy-makers. This is
the real basis of the often stated and affirmed ‘common interests and
values’ between the two ‘countries’. Military-driven imperial powers,
like the US and Israel, do not share ‘democratic values’ – as even the
most superficial observer of their savage repression of their conquered
peoples and nations (Iraq and Palestine) can attest – they share the
military route to empire-building.
Historic Comparison of Market and Military Driven Imperialism
A rational cost efficient evaluation of the US major and minor military
invasions demonstrates the high economic cost and low economic benefits
to both the capitalist system as a whole and even to many key economic
enterprises.
The US blockade and subsequent war with Japan
ultimately unleashed the Asian national liberation movements, which
undercut European, and US colonial-style military imperialism. The
Korean War ignited the massive re-industrialization of Japan and
created optimal conditions for Korea’s model of protectionism at home
and free trade with the US (so-called Asian state-led export model).
The result was the creation of two major manufacturing rivals to the US
economic expansion in Asia, North America and later in the rest of the
world.
The US invasion, colonial occupation and imperial war
in Indochina and its subsequent defeat severely weakened the military
capacity to subsequently defend global imperial interests and client
states in Southern Africa, Iran and Nicaragua. More to the point, by
concentrating resources on war-making the US lost markets to the
emerging market empire-builders and diverted capital from increasing
the productivity and productive forces which create market dominance.
In the broader picture, military and market driven imperialism, which
coexisted and seemed to complement each other diverged in the period
between 1963-1973, with the militarist faction gaining supremacy in
directing US empire-building. The divergence was papered over by
several instances of complementary activity such as the overthrow of
President Allende in Chile on behalf of US MNCs and similar earlier
cases as in Guatemala (1954), Iran (1953) and in other countries where
quick imperial victories over smaller countries did not seem to carry
any significant economic or political costs.
The ascendancy
of Reagan and the negative long-term economic impact of new arms
buildup were obscured by the break-up of the Communist system and the
Chinese and Vietnamese transitions to capitalism. The windfall gains to
US economic interests in the former European communist countries,
especially Russia, were largely based on pillaging existing resources
in alliance with gangster-capitalists. Long-term, large-scale benefits
were not due to US capitalist taking over and developing the forces of
production and developing the internal markets of the ex-communist
countries. The political and military gains that accrued to US military
empire building obscured the continued loss of economic power in the
world marketplace to the market-driven imperial powers. Moreover, China
unleashed a large-scale, long-term process of dynamic capital
accumulation, which in less than two decades displaced the US from
manufacturing markets and challenged its access to energy markets.
In other words favorable resolution of the US-Soviet conflict led to
their mutual economic decline. What is worse from a practical
historical perspective, the military-driven empire builders saw their
‘victory’ over Communism as vindication and license to escalate their
militarist approach to empire building. According to this line of
argument, the Soviets fell because of military pressure, backed by
ideological warfare. Moreover in the absence of a countervailing
military pole, the Bush-Clinton-Bush Presidencies saw an open field for
pursuing the military road to empire building.
From the Gulf, to the Gulf and Back to the Gulf : 1990-2008 (and beyond)
The first Bush Presidency assumed the military road to empire building
but tried to avoid the high costs of occupation and colonization. The
Israeli colonial model had to await the Zionist occupation of
policy-making positions in later administrations. The first Iraq War
was intended to project US imperial military power, secure US economic
interests among the Gulf oil states (Kuwait and Saudi Arabia) as well
as expand Israeli influence in the Middle East. Most of all it was seen
as the launching of a ‘New World Order; centered in US world supremacy,
supported by docile allies and financed by rich Arab oil states.
Shortly after the Gulf War, the triple alliance, which emerged during
the war, collapsed as Europe pursued its own market-driven empire in
competition with the US, Saudi Arabia paid some of the US military
expenditures and then abruptly ended its funding, and domestic
opposition grew as the electorate demanded less imperial expenditures
and the re-building of the domestic economy.
Military-Driven Empire-Building (MDE) and Zionism
The Zionist Power Configuration in the United States successfully
secured from the White House and Congress massive sustained
multi-billion dollar military and economic grant and aid packages for
Israel throughout the 1980’s ensuring Israel’s military superiority in
the Middle East. Yet both Presidents Reagan and Bush (father) tried to
maintain a balance between the interests of major US oil
multi-nationals working with Arab regimes on the one hand and on the
other Israeli and Washington’s military-driven empire building (MEB).
Bush Senior’s attack of Iraq in the First Gulf War, greatly reduced
Baghdad’s military capability but he refrained from destroying its
armed forces or overthrowing Saddam Hussein as Israel and the ZPC were
demanding at the time. Above all Bush did not want to destabilize the
region for US oil deals in the Gulf, even as he imposed a US military
presence to ensure dominance.
With the election of Clinton
and the Democratic-controlled Congress, the MDE and the ZPC gained
strategic positions in the elaboration and implementation of foreign
policy. Madeleine Albright, ‘Sandy’ Berger, Dennis Ross, Cohen, and
Martin Indyk and an army of lesser known functionaries, militarists and
Zionists launched a series of wars, military attacks and severe
sanctions against Yugoslavia, Somalia, Sudan and Iraq. They devastated
their population (over 500,000 children died in Iraq as a direct result
of US starvation sanctions), destroyed their national productive
facilities and, intentionally disarticulated and fragmented their
nations into violent ethno-tribal and religious mini-states.
While
Clinton embraced the military road to empire building, he was also
totally committed to the financial sector of the US economy (in
particular, the most speculative activities) by de-regulating all
controls, oversight and constraints on ‘hedge funds’, investment banks
and equity houses. Under the tutelage of the Chairman of the Federal
Reserve Bank, the pro-Israel Alan Greenspan, the Clinton regime became
the launching pad for the full conversion of the US into a
speculation-driven economy, culminating in the dot-com bubble which
burst in 2000-2001, and the massive Enron and World Com swindles
leading up to the current financial meltdown of 2006-2008.
While the MDE gained a dominant role, the ascendance of speculative
capital marginalized and eroded the political influence and economic
weight of productive capital, forcing it overseas and/or to transfer
funds into the financial-speculative sector. The socio-economic basis
of market-driven empire-building (MDEB) was weakened relative to the
militarists and the ZPC in setting the US foreign policy agenda. This
new power configuration opened the door for the total takeover by these
same forces during the 8 years of Bush (Junior)’s presidency. The
latter quickly eliminated any residual influence of the market-driven
imperialists, forcing the resignation of his first Treasury Secretary
O’Neal and others. Even hybrid market-militarists like Colin Powell who
went along with the global war strategy but raised tactical questions
were subsequently forced into retirement.
MDE were in total
control of the government in all spheres, from the elaboration of war
propaganda, the build-up of a global network of terror and
assassination teams, to colonial wars and the systematic use of torture
abroad and the savaging of elementary freedoms at home. Within the MDE,
the ZPC gained dominance, especially in the formulation and the
implementation of total war strategies in Iraq and the unconditional
backing of Israel’s genocidal politics in Gaza and the West Bank. Every
sector of the government was geared to war, bellicose action and
especially to subordinating economic policies to military practices
informed by the military-driven Israeli colonization.
The
convergence of policy and practice between the MDE and the ZPC within
the highest levels of government and their mutual reinforcement, gave
US foreign policy its extremist military character. Zionist cultural
and media power provided an army of academic and journalistic
ideologues and mass media platforms which the MDE previously lacked –
and amplified their message. The linking of traditional US MDE and the
emerging power of the Israeli-ZPC buttressed the spread of
authoritarian controls and harsh and widespread censorship over any
politician, intellectual or media critic of Israel and its
unconditional supporters in the ZPC.
The joint forces of the
MDE and ZPC have reshaped the US military command to serve their plans
for new major wars – against Iran – and the prolongation and extension
of wars against Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia, Lebanon and elsewhere. The
MDE have failed to pursue the free trade openings in Latin America,
Asia and the Middle East – leaving the field wide open for entirely new
trading and investment networks involving China, Europe, Japan, India,
Russia and the Middle Eastern sovereign funds. Even with the onset of
the recession in the US and the meltdown of the financial markets, the
militarists have refused to change or alter their stranglehold on the
budget and foreign policy, causing the government to resort to printing
currency to finance the bailout of speculators and their investment
banks.
Imperial Wars, Social Revolutions and Capitalist Restorations
The historical record demonstrates that imperial wars destroy the
productive forces and social networks of targeted countries. In
contrast, market-driven economic empire building gains hegemony via
collaboration with local political and economic elites, taking control
of strategic industries, minerals and energy via direct investments and
loans, privatizations and denationalization, and favorable trade and
monetary agreements. Market-driven empire building takes over, it does
not destroy the productive forces; it does not demolish the social
fabric, it reconstructs or ‘adjusts’ it to accommodate its accumulation
needs.
The evolution of social revolutionary regimes in a
post liberation period shows a common pattern reflecting the
political-economic external constraints imposed by military
imperialism. The revolutionary regimes expropriate and nationalize the
major means of production, control foreign trade and organize the
planning of the economy. They eliminate foreign control over strategic
economic sectors, centralize political and economic control as well as
redistribute land and income. In many cases these radical measures were
imposed upon the revolutionary governments by imperial economic
boycotts, the flight of capitalist and landlords, the non-cooperation
of managers and technicians and by the necessity of reconstruction in
the face of large-scale destruction. The US embargo and similar
constraints on external financial aid have forced revolutionary
governments to rely on the rationing of scarce resources for priority
public projects, limiting its capacity to increase individual
consumption.
As a result, the post-revolutionary regimes were
forced to deal with market-driven empire builders. They contracted
large-scale short-term and long-term trade agreements, joint investment
ventures through equitable profit sharing agreements and a broad range
of technological contracts involving royalty payments. In other words,
given the unfavorable position of the revolutionary economy in the
world market and the low level of development of the forces of
production, the market-driven empire building countries were in a
position to secure lucrative economic opportunities. In contrast, the
military driven empire attempted to inflict maximum economic damage to
compensate for its military defeat.
The revolutionary regimes
under Communist leadership featured characteristics, which foreshadowed
positive future relations with market-driven imperial countries. Their
vertical leadership and concentrated political power facilitated quick
and relatively easy changes from collectivist to neo-liberal policies,
while hindering the democratic mechanisms, which might have corrected
erroneous and harmful economic decisions. Secondly, unchecked power at
the top in a time of scarcity led to the conversion of power into
privilege, corruption and social inequalities. These developments
created a wealthy nepotistic elite with an interest in deepening ties
with their capitalist counterparts from the imperial states. These
internal changes coincided with the interests of market-driven
capitalists willing to establish lucrative ‘beach heads’ and relations
with elite groups in the post-revolutionary society and state.
Market-driven empire builders were attracted to the tight controls
exercised over labor and the lack of competition from other
military-driven imperial states.
Post-revolutionary economies
continued to be embedded in the world capitalist marketplace and
subject to its competitive demands. In the best of circumstances, even
with a democratic and socially egalitarian leadership and relatively
favorable world commodity prices, the revolutionary regime would need
to balance the social demands of a socialist domestic economy (with
demands for increases in income, social services and workplace
improvement and consumer goods) and the world market demands for
greater efficiency, increased capital investments, rising productivity
and labor discipline. Given the built-in biases toward political and
military security embedded in the bureaucratic centralist structures,
it was not surprising that production would stagnate. The constraints
and the centralized elites’ inability to micro-manage the economy
beyond the period of reconstruction was one reason for stagnation. The
other was that the regime would prefer a hierarchical organized
capitalist structure (over any democratic changes from below), which
would not challenge, but rather strengthen, the communist elite’s
position in a ‘new’ eclectic system.
In other words there
would be a dual transition from imperial-dominated extractive
capitalism to centralized socialism which would entail a period of
reconstruction and national unification with an organized and
disciplined labor force. This would be followed by a transition to a
centralized mixed state capitalist economy, increasingly penetrated by
market-driven imperial capital.
Was ‘Socialism a Detour to Capitalism’? Were ‘Imperial Wars Necessary for Capitalist Expansion’?
The historical record documents the continued growth and expansion of
market-driven empire building throughout the post World War II period,
without wars, significant military intervention, boycotts, embargos or
other offensive belligerent actions. The expansion took place in the
context of non-revolutionary, revolutionary and post-revolutionary
regimes. Germany’s market-driven empire builders traded with the
Communist East, China and Russia before, during and after the fall of
Communism, accumulating huge trade and productive advantages over the
US. The same occurred with Japan with regard to China and other Asian
communist countries.
The market imperialists did not depend,
as some apologists for military imperialists argue ‘on the protective
umbrella’ of US militarism, but on their superior position in the world
market and the greater development of the forces of production, which
allowed them to enter and secure favorable and lucrative economic
positions.
In contrast, the US empire builders, who started
the post-war 1945-50 period in a uniquely favorable position in the
world market, wasted their massive economic resources in funding wars
against successful revolutions - China, Korea, Indochina, Cuba, and now
in prolonged colonial wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Billions more have
been spent in numerous surrogate wars in Angola, Nicaragua, Guatemala
and Chile with no economic payoffs for US MNCs over and against its
European and Asian competition. The US imperial wars failed to enhance
its economic empire. US Empire builders shifted massive resources away
from producing goods for the international market and upgrading their
industrial productivity in order to retain world and domestic market
shares to its monstrous and wasteful military budgets. The result has
been a steady decline of the US economic empire relative to its
competitor market-driven empires. Ironically, when the centralized
collectivist regimes eventually made the transition toward capitalism,
it was because of their inner social and economic contradictions and
not because of US military policies. The restoration of capitalism had
little to do with the hundreds of billions of dollars in US military
spending.
In contrast, the market-driven empires from the end
of the 1940’s benefited from US imperial wars, by securing lucrative US
military contracts and were able to concentrate their state
expenditures and investment policies on securing overseas markets. They
were in an ideal position to reap the benefits resulting from the
socialist regimes’ transition to capitalism.
Given the
emergence of post-Communist political and social ruling elites who
blindly adhered to free market dogma with their corrupt, authoritarian
and privileged political practices, in retrospect ‘socialism’ did
appear as a ‘detour’ to capitalist restoration. However the structural
changes of some communist political elites, especially in China and
Vietnam, created the essential foundations for a capitalist take-off.
They unified the country, educated and trained a healthy, disciplined
work-force, launched basic industries, eliminated war lords and local
ethnic fiefdoms. Subsequently Communist liberalization opened the door
to the peaceful economic invasion of market-driven imperialism,
safeguarded by a strong centralized state limiting any working class or
nationalist opposition or protest. The Communist elites established a
framework ideal for subsequent imperialist reentry and expansion.
The historical record makes it clear that imperial wars were not
necessary for economic expansion. Empire-driven militarism thoroughly
undermined the US long-term competitive position. If the driving force
of empire building is economic conquest, then market-driven empires are
far superior to military-driven empires. The goal of ‘colonial
political dominance’, pursued by military-driven imperialists, is in
the modern period, a chimera, as demonstrated by a history of political
defeats in Asia, Africa, Latin America and now in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Military-Driven Imperialism Today and the Newly Emerging Imperial Powers
One might conclude that the US imperial leadership would have ‘learned
the lessons’ of failed military-driven empire building from the their
experience over the past 50 years. But as we pointed out earlier, the
internal structural dynamics of the US economy and the reconfiguration
of the political elite directing the political system have led in the
opposite direction. The 21st century has witnessed the ascendancy of
the most zealous exponents of military-driven empire building in the
entire post-World War II period. An overview of US imperial policy
shows the proliferation and intensification of direct wars, surrogate
wars, military confrontations in which the US favors militarist allies
over countries with lucrative markets and profitable investment
opportunities in natural resources.
Market-Driven Versus Militarist Alliances
The militarist and Zionist takeover of US empire building in the 21st
century is manifested in their strategic decisions, alliances and
priorities, each and everyone of which is diametrically opposed to
market-based empire building and ultimately doomed to further erode the
position of the US empire.
The newly emerging empire building
states (like China), rely almost exclusively on market-driven
strategies designed by political elites linked to industrialists and
technocrats. They are quickly dominating manufacturing markets,
accessing strategic raw materials and securing long-term trade
agreements at the expense of the increasingly militarist, but
internally deteriorating US empire. Near the end of the first decade of
the 21st century, the imperial policies of the US militarists and
Zionists have demonstrated their willingness to make deep sacrifices in
market growth by choosing to align the US with costly and dubious
militarist regimes in all regions of the world, beginning with the US
alliance with Israel.
In the Middle East, unlike
market-driven empire builders, the US militarists and Zionists have
invaded Iraq and Afghanistan, destroying many lucrative oil deals and
joint ventures and leading to the quadrupling the world price of oil.
Instead they have invested (and lost) over a trillion dollars in
non-productive, non-economic, military activity. Militarist imperialism
has weakened the entire economic fabric of the US Empire without any
‘compensatory’ gains on the military side. The prolonged war in Iraq (6
years and running) has demoralized the US ground troops and weakened US
military capability to engage in any ‘third front’ in which the US has
important economic interests. US liberal market-driven imperialists
describe this as ‘imperial overstretch’. While the US invests in
non-productive and unsuccessful military conquests, profoundly
indebting the domestic economy, China, India, Korea, Russia, Europe,
the Middle East and even Latin America pile up trade surpluses while
expanding their economic empires via private and sovereign investments.
Largely because of the political fusion and strategic
convergence of interests between militarists and Zionists, the US
empire builders choose to sacrifice lucrative ties to the richest
markets among the Gulf State in the Middle East and among predominantly
Muslim countries in order to favor Israel, a resource-poor
militarist-colonial state with a third rate market for goods and
investments. US militarists have subjected America’s empire building to
strategies in the Middle East, which mostly favor Israel’s colonial and
regional hegemonic drive. This places the US on a direct
confrontational path with Lebanon, Syria, Iran and even the Gulf States
who feel threatened by Israel’s constant resort to offensive military
power to attack its neighbors. No Arab oil country, no matter how
conservative and pro-capitalist, can afford to open its economy to the
US, if it believes that Washington will subordinate it to the vision of
a militarist Israel-US dominated sphere of influence.
By
unconditionally backing Israel’s colonial and hegemonic interests,
American militarists have gained a strategic domestic political ally
(the Zionist Power Configuration) but it has come at an enormous cost
to US economic empire building. Moreover the Israeli state has run the
biggest and most aggressive espionage operations in the US of any
country since the fall of the USSR, thus calling into question its
‘security benefits.’ The multiplicity of enemies resulting from
Israel’s racist-colonialist policies ensures that the US will be
engaged in decades of war, or as long as the US taxpayers can sustain
the demands of the military empire.
Military-driven empire
building is manifested not only in the Middle East but throughout the
world. In Africa, the US backs the Ethiopian military regime and its
weak and isolated puppet regime in Somalia against an Islamist-secular
nationalist coalition representing the majority of Somalis. Washington
and Israel finance and arm the Sudanese separatists in Darfur against
the oil-rich central Sudanese government. In both Somalia and Sudan,
China and other emerging imperial powers have secured access to
strategic oil rich sites. While the US spends billions of dollars on
endless wars, propaganda campaigns and sanctions, China reaps hundreds
of millions in profits. While the US financed African wars destroy the
entire fabric of production and society in Somalia, militarizing
impoverished Ethiopia, the Chinese build roads and infrastructure to
facilitate exports in both the Sudan and Northern Somalia.
Pentagon-directed colonial wars in Africa, conducted by surrogates,
undermine the political support of economic collaborators while the
market-driven empires enhance their ties with local economic elites and
political rulers.
In Latin America, the US military
imperialists have so far contributed $6 billion dollars in military aid
to Colombia’s militarist regime during the 21st century, destroying the
entire social fabric in the rural areas, while the rest of Latin
America expanded their ties with Europe, Asia and the Middle East.
Washington has spent hundreds of millions of dollars in failed efforts
to destabilize Venezuela’s nationalist-democratic Chavez Government. As
a result US capitalists have lost out on billions of dollars in
investments and trading contracts in Venezuela to China, Russia,
Brazil, Argentina and Iran. By making Colombia the centerpiece of their
South American policy, US militarist empire builders have lost out on
the enormously lucrative economic opportunities accompanying the
commodity price boom in Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador and Bolivia.
In Asia, despite the deepening US economic dependence on China to
sustain to the rapidly depreciating US dollar (China holds $1.5
trillion dollars in foreign reserves which has lost 60% of its value
since 2002), the US militarists still engage in sustained anti-Chinese
propaganda campaigns and highly provocative incidents. The US-backed
violent protests against the Chinese presence in Tibet fomented by the
Dalai Lama and CIA-funded exile organizations is only the more recent
example. American Zionists have directed a political campaign against
the expansion of Chinese investments and contracts (market-driven
imperialism) in the Sudan. The Zionist role in the so-called ‘Darfur’
campaign is based on Sudan’s support for the Palestinians and
opposition to Israel’s genocidal policy in Gaza.
China has so
far generally overlooked US military provocations such as the shooting
down of a Chinese fighter plane, spy flights over Chinese offshore
territory, the deliberate bombing of its embassy in Belgrade and the
sale of advanced missiles to Taiwan. The US financing of the separatist
demonstrations among Tibetan exiles is designed to tarnish China’s
image in the lead up to its hosting the 2008 Summer Olympics. China’s
market-driven empire builders ignore US military provocations because
they had little effect on Chinese overseas and domestic economic
expansion. Nevertheless China has increased spending on modernizing its
military defense capabilities. More significantly, as the US economy
declines and enters a deep recession in 2008, and as the dollar
continues to fall ($1.60 to 1 Euro as of May 2008), China has turned
toward the Asian, European, Middle Eastern markets. Asian markets now
account for 50% of world trade growth as of 2008. In 2007 China
increased production and the development of its market to sustain
growth rates at least five times higher than the militarist-dominated
US Empire. Even more significant, the great majority of Chinese
exporters (over 800,000) have shifted payments to Euros, Yen, Pounds
Sterling and the Renminbi in its trading with non-US trading partners.
Russia, shaking off the shackles of Clinton-backed pillage during the
gangster capitalism of the Yeltsin years in the 1990’s, has taken off
during the 21st century under the leadership of President Putin. US
military-driven empire builders were able to integrate and subordinate
all the former members of the Russia-centered Warsaw Pact into the
US-dominated NATO. In the 21st Century, the Russian economy has
expanded rapidly between 6% and 8%, established majority control over
strategic resources and has sought to lessen its vulnerability to US
military encirclement. While Germany, Italy and most of the major Asian
trading countries (China, India and Japan) have obtained lucrative
trading and investment agreements with Russia, the US militarists have
concentrated on military encroachment along Russia’s European and Asian
borders. The US is pushing to incorporate Ukraine and Georgia into
NATO, and preparing to station offensive, so-called ‘missile shields’
in Poland and the Czech Republic on the absurd pretext that such highly
sophisticated installations are intended to protect Western Europe from
attacks by distant Iran rather than target Moscow, just 5 minutes away
by missile attack.
Conclusion
US military-driven
empire building has made costly military alliances with peripheral
countries at a catastrophic economic cost. The persistence of
militarist empire builders has systematically undercut market-driven
empire building and has pushed the domestic US economy to near
bankruptcy. The twin motors of the contemporary empire and domestic
economy, speculative finance and militarism, have driven the US economy
backwards at the same time that established and emerging imperial
competitors are advancing.
Comparative historical data
covering the entire half-century to the present demonstrates that
European, Japanese and now China and India’s market-driven expansion
has been far more successful in securing market shares, developing the
productive forces and accessing strategic raw materials than US
military empire building.
Market-driven empire building has
both resulted from and created a strong civil society in which
socio-economic priorities take precedent in defining domestic and
foreign economic policy over military priorities and definitions of
international reality. US empire builders, academics and political
advisers have interpreted, what they call ‘the rise of US global power
its victory in the Cold War and the decline of Communism’ as a
vindication of military-driven empire building. They have ignored the
rise of capitalist competitors and the relative and absolute decline of
the US as an economic power. It can be argued that the newly emerging
market-driven former Communist countries (like China and Russia)
represent a greater global challenge to the US Empire than the previous
stagnant bureaucratic Communist regimes.
Militarism is deeply
embedded in the structure, ideology and policies of the entire US
governing class, its political parties, the executive and legislative
branches, the judiciary and the armed forces. Over the same
half-century countervailing market-driven empire builders have declined
as a defining force in the formulation of foreign policy in the US. The
growing encroachment of the militant Zionist power configuration within
the policy-making directorate has been greatly facilitated by the
ascendancy of militarism and the relative decline of economic-empire
building.
The long period of incremental decline of US
economic empire building and the trillions of dollars wasted by
military-driven empire building has come to a climax. In the new
millennium with the profound devaluation of the imperial currency (the
dollar), the huge indebtedness and loss of markets Washington is
totally dependent on the good will of its commercial partners to keep
accepting constantly devalued dollars in exchange for essential
commodities.
The immediate outcome is likely to be a major
domestic crisis, which could be accompanied by one more desperate and
futile military attack on Iran and/or Venezuela or a forced
confrontation with China and/or Russia. Desperate acts of declining
military empires have historically accelerated the demise of imperial
rulers.
Out of the debris of failed empires two possible
outcomes could emerge. A new rabidly nationalist authoritarian regime
or the re-birth of a republic based on the reconstruction of a
productive economy centered on the domestic market and social
priorities, free from foreign entanglements and power configurations
whose only purpose is to subordinate the republic to overseas colonial
ambitions.
The dismantling of the military driven empire will
not occur ‘by choice’ but by imposed circumstances, including the
incapacity of domestic institutions to continue to finance it. The
demise of the militarist governing class will follow the collapse of
their domestic economic foundations. The result could be a withered
empire, or a democratic republic. When and how a new political
leadership will emerge will depend on the nature of the social
configurations, which undertake the reconstruction of US society.
James Petras most recent book is The Power of Israel in the United
States (clarity 2006 third printing). His essays in English can be
found at petras.lahaine.org, and in Spanish at rebellion.org
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